NCAA Tournament Preview: West Region – Can anyone stop Gonzaga?

March 14, 2022
NCAA Basketball: West Coast Conference Tournament-Gonzaga vs San Francisco
Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The Zags once again look like the class of college basketball.

The Oklahoma Sooners may have missed out on the 2022 NCAA Tournament, but that’s not going to stop us from breaking down the big dance in excruciatingly minute detail. We’re previewing every region before the games tip off in earnest on Thursday.

First up is the West Region, where overall No. 1 seed Gonzaga will set off on a quest to bring home the Bulldogs’ first national championship.

2022 NCAA Tournament – West Region Preview

NCAA Basketball: Gonzaga at St. Mary’s
Darren Yamashita-USA TODAY Sports

The favorite: Gonzaga

Just like a year ago, the Zags come into March Madness as the prohibitive favorites to cut down the nets in New Orleans when all is said and done. Also like last season, Mark Few’s team has held the top spot in most rankings systems – be they opinion- or analytics-based – for the vast majority of the season.

The difference in 2022 is that this edition of Gonzaga doesn’t carry the same aura of invincibility as the 2021 squad. Part of that may be due to the manner in which Baylor dismantled the Bulldogs in the final game last year. Additionally, the Zags have suffered a handful of losses this year, including a resounding defeat at Saint Mary’s to close the regular season.

The fact that they’re not shooting for a spotless record may work in Gonzaga’s favor this year if it eases some pressure off the West Coast Conference champ. On the other hand, this squad lacks the stellar backcourt of a year ago, led by NBA lottery pick Jalen Suggs at point guard.

No other team in the country can match the one-two punch of forwards Drew Timme and Chet Holmgren, and their brilliance could get the Zags over the hump. This team is still a step down from what they had the last time they were dancing in March.

Best matchup: No. 9 Memphis vs. No. 8 Boise State

Syndication: The Commercial Appeal
Joe Rondone/The Commercial Appeal / USA TODAY NETWORK

The oddsmakers view this as a virtual toss-up, installing the Tigers as 1.5-point favorites. Kenpom.com projects the Broncos as 68-67 winners.

Ultimately, this game looks like a typical clash of styles. Boise State plays a slowdown game keyed by its rugged defense, which ranks 17th nationally in adjusted efficiency. The Broncos also have four players in their usual rotation who stand 6-7 or taller, so they clean the glass.

Penny Hardaway’s Memphis team likes to push the pace and get transition baskets. The Tigers rebound the ball on the offensive end as well as any team in the country, but they may find they’ve met their match in BSU’s burly front line.

This game tips off in the early window in Portland on Thursday, so travel and logistics probably give the Broncos a slight edge.

Upset alert: No. 13 Vermont over No. 4 Arkansas

Another case of contrasting styles, with the Razorbacks running and gunning and the Catamounts stalling and crawling.

Vermont may take its time, but we’re talking about an efficient offense with one of the highest effective field goal percentages in the country at 57.3%. Defensively, they give up fewer rebounds to opponents than any other team in the country, so it seems unlikely that the Hogs will bully them for second-chance points in the paint.

NCAA Basketball: Tennessee at Arkansas
Brett Rojo-USA TODAY Sports

Watch for the Catamounts to slow the pace down and work Arkansas’ defense for good looks. Also watch the stands for what is sure to be the most entertaining culture clash between fans in the first round.

Enough already: Coach K’s last dance

NCAA Basketball: ACC Conference Tournament Semifinal-Duke vs Miami
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The television executives will certainly hope to milk Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski’s final appearance in the NCAA tournament for all its worth. Unfortunately for them, the Blue Devils are – trying to put this politely – poorly coached. They don’t lack for talent or skill, but they can be had on the offensive boards. Coach K also doesn’t seem to be able to get much effort out of his players on defense. They instead rely on their athleticism to make up for a lack of diligence.

The conspiracy theories will run wild if Duke makes a deep run. This team is leaking enough oil to think that is unlikely, though. K can’t like the prospect of seeing Michigan State’s Tom Izzo or Bob McKillop of Davidson on the other bench in the second round.

Sweet 16: No. 1 Gonzaga over No. 5 UConn; No. 3 Texas Tech over No. 2 Duke

NCAA Basketball: Texas Tech at Texas
Scott Wachter-USA TODAY Sports

While the Blue Devils will get tested by Davidson in round two, they will march on to San Francisco. The Red Raiders will most likely bludgeon them there.

With the Hogs getting knocked out in the first round, UConn will skate through the first two games before meeting the Gonzaga buzzsaw.

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OU misses NCAA Tournament, awaits NIT announcement

Oklahoma v Texas Tech
Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images

Here’s how you can catch the NIT bracket announcement.

Fans of the Oklahoma Sooners have been sitting on pins and needles over the past 36 hours, and they finally got their answer Sunday afternoon. Unfortunately, it wasn’t the news they wanted, as OU ended up as one of the “First Four Out” of the NCAA Tournament field.

The Sooners certainly gave the committee plenty of reasons to exclude them, but when looking at the competition for the final spots, OU should have been in over 17-14 Michigan and 18-13 Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights were 77th in NET, suffering losses to Lafayette, UMass DePaul and Penn State. Meanwhile, Michigan has a comparable record to the Sooners and lost to a common opponent — UCF. The most puzzling part is that the Big Ten was fourth in conference RPI and got nine teams into the field. Doesn’t make a ton of sense!

At any rate, OU will now await its announced spot in the NIT field, and they could potentially find themselves hosting a game or two. Here’s how you can watch the selection show:

Date: Sunday, March 13

Time: 8 p.m. CT

TV: ESPNU

Streaming: Watch ESPN and ESPN+

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